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Bagged Structure Learning of Bayesian Networks AbstractWe present a novel approach for density esti- mation using Bayesian networks when faced with scarce and partially observed data. Our approach relies on Efron's bootstrap frame- work, and replaces the standard model selec- tion score by a bootstrap aggregation objec- tive aimed at sifting out bad decisions dur- ing the learning procedure. Unlike previ- ous bootstrap or MCMC based approaches that are only aimed at recovering specic structural features, we learn a concrete den- sity model that can be used for probabilis- tic generalization. To make use of our ob- jective when some of the data is missing, we propose a bagged structural EM proce- dure that does not incur the heavy com- putational cost typically associated with a bootstrap-based approach. We compare our bagged objective to the Bayesian score and the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), as well as other bootstrap-based model selection objectives, and demonstrate its eectiveness in improving generalization performance for varied real-life datasets.
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