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Redundancy of the Context-tree Weighting Method on Renewal and Markov Renewal Processes AbstractThe Context Tree Weighting method is almost adaptive on the classes of renewal and Markov renewal processes : it achieves the minimax pointwise redundancy, studied by Imre Csisz\'ar and Paul C. Shields, up to logarithmic factor. On a theoretical level, this result may be regarded as adaptive estimation in a non parametric setting. On a more practical level, this result furnishes a first example of a universal coder efficient on intermediate complexity classes.
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